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Every weekend, Disney proves the box office is a rollercoaster: one title hits a billion and the next falters. Case in point: Zootopia 2 roared back to the top in North America during its third weekend, surpassing the $1 billion mark globally, while Ella McCay stumbled at the domestic box office, debuting to just $2.1 million and marking one of Disney’s weaker openings in recent memory.
Piecing the numbers together, Ella McCay had a modest $35 million production budget, a fraction of Disney’s typical theatrical investments. Big franchises and family spectacles from Marvel, Avatar, Inside Out 2, and Lilo & Stitch often carry budgets well above $200 million. Although Ella McCay isn’t expected to lose money, its underwhelming debut likely won’t trigger any major leadership shakeups at the company.
The film, written and directed by James L. Brooks—the Emmy- and Oscar-winning collaborator behind The Simpsons and As Good As It Gets—opened far below expectations, with projections around $4 million. The reasons for the disappointing performance are clear. This mid-budget drama-comedy about a young politician who unexpectedly becomes her state’s governor skewed toward audiences who aren’t flocking to mid-budget releases these days. Critics gave it a rough reception (Rotten Tomatoes average around 24%), and audience reactions weren’t much kinder (CinemaScore’s B-). Brooks’s recent box-office track record has been mixed, following earlier efforts like Spanglish (2004) and How Do You Know? (2010). Some observers still see potential for a future comeback, perhaps with a project like a Simpsons Movie sequel slated for 2027.
Industry analyst David A. Gross notes that Brooks shaped character-driven storytelling in the 1980s and 1990s, a style that’s now routinely found on television and social media where authenticity often carries weight with viewers. Modern audiences frequently favor quick, shareable content, which can sideline mid-budget dramas in favor of higher-profile or streaming-backed releases.
Meanwhile, Zootopia 2 reclaimed the No. 1 spot in its third weekend, pulling in $26.3 million and marking a 39% drop from the previous frame. The movie has now grossed about $259 million in the U.S. and $1.13 billion worldwide, making it only the second film this year to cross the billion-dollar threshold.
Five Nights at Freddy’s 2 slipped to second place with $19.5 million, reflecting a steep 70% decline from its $64 million debut. While that drop is hard, it’s not as severe as the original film’s second-weekend performance. Still, at roughly $36 million production cost, Blumhouse has already tallied about $95 million domestically and $173 million globally after two weekends—clear wins for the horror-focused studio.
Wicked: For Good held at No. 3 with $8.5 million, down 51% from the prior weekend. The Universal musical has reached $312 million domestically and $467 million globally to date. It’s another example of a high-spending musical finding momentum slower than its predecessor, 2024’s Wicked, which posted stronger North American and global totals.
In the specialty sector, Chloe Zhao’s Hamnet stood out with $1.5 million across 749 venues—roughly the same ballpark as Ella McCay’s domestic bow despite a far smaller theater count. The well-received tragedy, starring Jessie Buckley and Paul Mescal and centered on the death of William Shakespeare’s son, has accumulated about $7 million so far.
Looking at the broader picture, overall domestic box-office capacity sits at roughly $8.1 billion for the season, up about 0.5% from the same period last year but still 22.7% below 2019 levels, according to Comscore. Holiday releases are on the way to provide a much-needed lift, including James Cameron’s Avatar: Fire and Ash, Paramount’s The SpongeBob Movie: Search for SquarePants, and Lionsgate’s The Housemaid on December 19. Timothée Chalamet leads a new, quirky release from A24, Marty Supreme, while Focus Features presents Song Sung Blue with Hugh Jackman and Kate Hudson. Sony also plans Anaconda, a disaster-comedy starring Jack Black and Paul Rudd, for Christmas Day. The question on everyone’s minds remains whether these blockbusters can push the domestic tally beyond the $9 billion milestone.
Would you like to discuss which factors most influence mid-budget plays like Ella McCay versus blockbuster sequels in today’s market, or whether mid-budget dramas still have a viable future in theaters? Share your thoughts in the comments.